Market Overview: Flat opening expected

Indian stock markets (Sensex and Nifty) are expected to open with a flat opening today (July 14).

Investor sentiment is cautious due to rising global trade tensions.

US President Donald Trump recently imposed a 30% tariff on goods coming from the European Union and Mexico, rekindling fears of a trade war.

The Nifty was trading 0.04% lower at 25,180 at 7:55 am.

What happens in last week?

  • Indian markets witnessed a massive sell-off on Friday (July 11).
  • The decline came after weak results and disappointing outlook from TCS (Tata Consultancy Services).
  • Investors booked profits due to concerns about a weak earnings season.

FII and DII activity

  • Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares  ₹5,104 crore and turned net sellers.
  • Meanwhile, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) bought shares worth ₹3,558 crore.

Volatility and market sentiment

India VIX (volatility index) rose marginally by 1.24% to 11.81.
Still below the fear level of 15, it shows that there is no panic in the market.
The put-call ratio (PCR) fell from 0.69 to 0.55, indicating more bearish sentiment (more call writing).
Max Penn reached 25,250, which means this is the level where most options are likely to expire worthless.

Key technical levels to watch

 ðŸ”¹Key Nifty levels

  • Support: 25,129 (Break below this could mean further weakness)
  • Resistance: 25,350 (Needs to cross and hold above this to attract buyers)


🔹 Key Sensex levels

  • There is a swing high around 57,370 - this is a strong resistance zone.
  • Needs to move above 56,700 for a bullish reversal.
  • Currently trading between 10-day and 20-day moving averages - indicating indecision.
  • A break below 56,607.75 could lead to further downside.

 ðŸ”·Expert Opinion:

The market is showing signs of weakness. Unless we see a strong close above the resistance levels, the upside will be limited," says Dhupesh Dhameja of SAMCO Securities.

Indications of weekly chart

  • The weekly chart closed negative, indicating a bearish trend.
  • The former support at 25,300 is now resistance.
  • The market breadth remains weak, meaning fewer stocks are rising than falling.

Indian stock markets may remain flat or weak today due to global trade concerns and technical resistance levels.

While volatility is still low, bearish signals are rising.

Investors should remain cautious and keep an eye on key technical levels for further direction.

✅ Tips for investors

  • Keep an eye on global cues, especially trade developments.
  • Pay attention to earnings reports - these reports can influence market sentiment more than international politics.
  • Keep an eye on the support/resistance levels mentioned above before making trading decisions.